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I predict ChatGPT is the next Self driving Tesla tech.

by sslayer 4y ago

summerlight 4y ago
2 years away from the full launch!
outside1234 4y ago
Seriously - it’s the 85% correct solution that gets you killed in the other 15%
- space_fountain 4y ago
  Well but it doesn’t kill you when it’s wrong so being 85% right is a lot more valuable
- fnordpiglet 4y ago
  On the roughly 100 autopilot trips I’ve taken - you nailed it - I died 15 times.
  - lossolo 4y ago
    It's not about 100 easy autopilot trips, it's about 1001 trip where you as human can easily see what to do but AI will interpret reality wrong because it was not trained to handle that edge case and you will die.
    - omgwtfbyobbq 4y ago
      That's why everything except for TACC is in beta, the driver needs to agree to be ready to take control immediately before their use, and so on.
    - fnordpiglet 4y ago
      That sounds more like 99.9% not 85%. Guess it’s a good thing I don’t nap while it’s on.
  - mtnGoat 4y ago
    I think this is called survivor bias?
    - fnordpiglet 4y ago
      That explains why I pass by so many smoking burned out teslas. My turn soon I guess!
VectorLock 4y ago
Impressive enough to fool the rubes is all the matters.
noncoml 4y ago
There is a big difference IMHO. Self Driving must get it right 101% of the time. ChatGPT search getting better than Google even 50% of the time should be enough. All the need is to add references to the answers that ChatGPT gives right now, and it will be game over for Google.
- yywwbbn 4y ago
  > ChatGPT search getting better than Google even 50% of the time should be enough. That’s a bit tricky because wrong results in Google are easier to spot due to metadata and context. With ChatGPT you have neither. In worse cases you ended up with a confidently incorrect statistical mode who think’s it’s infallible
  - consumer451 4y ago
    Are we expecting the same ChatGPT product that is in public beta to simply be deployed as the new Bing?
partiallypro 4y ago
Self-driving tech is heavily regulated and requires physical testing (sans Nvidia's new interesting approach of actually created a VR world to teach the AI), it's not remotely comparable. GPT is just another tool on the toolbelt, people that use it in a reliant way will get torched. It's no different than a regular search engine, it just compiles data instead of sitting in an index. Combined with a search engine, and knowledge, it's fine.

I predict ChatGPT is the next Self driving Tesla tech.

summerlight 4y ago

2 years away from the full launch!

outside1234 4y ago

Seriously - it’s the 85% correct solution that gets you killed in the other 15%

space_fountain 4y ago
Well but it doesn’t kill you when it’s wrong so being 85% right is a lot more valuable
fnordpiglet 4y ago
On the roughly 100 autopilot trips I’ve taken - you nailed it - I died 15 times.
- lossolo 4y ago
  It's not about 100 easy autopilot trips, it's about 1001 trip where you as human can easily see what to do but AI will interpret reality wrong because it was not trained to handle that edge case and you will die.
  - omgwtfbyobbq 4y ago
    That's why everything except for TACC is in beta, the driver needs to agree to be ready to take control immediately before their use, and so on.
  - fnordpiglet 4y ago
    That sounds more like 99.9% not 85%. Guess it’s a good thing I don’t nap while it’s on.
- mtnGoat 4y ago
  I think this is called survivor bias?
  - fnordpiglet 4y ago
    That explains why I pass by so many smoking burned out teslas. My turn soon I guess!

VectorLock 4y ago

Impressive enough to fool the rubes is all the matters.

noncoml 4y ago

There is a big difference IMHO. Self Driving must get it right 101% of the time. ChatGPT search getting better than Google even 50% of the time should be enough. All the need is to add references to the answers that ChatGPT gives right now, and it will be game over for Google.

yywwbbn 4y ago
> ChatGPT search getting better than Google even 50% of the time should be enough. That’s a bit tricky because wrong results in Google are easier to spot due to metadata and context. With ChatGPT you have neither. In worse cases you ended up with a confidently incorrect statistical mode who think’s it’s infallible
- consumer451 4y ago
  Are we expecting the same ChatGPT product that is in public beta to simply be deployed as the new Bing?

partiallypro 4y ago

Self-driving tech is heavily regulated and requires physical testing (sans Nvidia's new interesting approach of actually created a VR world to teach the AI), it's not remotely comparable. GPT is just another tool on the toolbelt, people that use it in a reliant way will get torched. It's no different than a regular search engine, it just compiles data instead of sitting in an index. Combined with a search engine, and knowledge, it's fine.