9 ms·

Sure. https://www.google.com/search?q=uk+covid+predictions&tbm=isch https://www.google.com/search?q=uk+covid+predictions&tbm=isc... There are plenty that stre

Sure. https://www.google.com/search?q=uk+covid+predictions&tbm=isch https://www.google.com/search?q=uk+covid+predictions&tbm=isc... There are plenty that stretch out for a year.

hamburglar 4y ago
A naive google search is ... not a helpful reference.
- jryhjythtr 4y ago
  Why not? It's the most efficient way I could think of, to display the sheer quantity, timeline, and content of the "Covid predictions" that we were shown in the UK. They are easily clickable, to show the original context (typically a news story or press release). You'll also note that practically all of them extend for at least 6 months. Also, you "asked for some". There they are - there's a lot of them.
  - hamburglar 4y ago
    Well to be frank I clicked a handful of them and got tired of trying to decipher graphs that didn’t end up supporting this claim.
    - jryhjythtr 4y ago
      Reminding ourselves that you asked to be "pointed to some (graphs predicting more than 6 months)": It is not clear when the image in first result was published, but given that it includes error bars for dates from March 2020 onwards, I would assume this is the result of modelling performed earlier than March 2020. It covers until October 2020. Result number two is a direct link to this paper: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/196234/covid-19-imperial-researchers-model-likely-impact/ https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/196234/covid-19-imperial-res... It was published in March 2020, and predicts data till March 2021 Result number three is a direct link to this news story (with an ironic headline, given result number 4 below): https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-54831334 https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-54831334 It was published in November 2020, and predicts data until July 2021 Result number four is a direct link to this news story: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-53392148 https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-53392148 It was published in July 2020, and predicts data until July 2021 This is the garbage that was fed to the UK populace on a daily basis - it was like the "modellers" had taken charge. Will you accept that graphs predicting more than 6 months of results were in common circulation?
      - hamburglar 4y ago
        > Will you accept that graphs predicting more than 6 months of results were in common circulation? I accept that they exist. I don't accept that we were "bombarded" with them. This is, of course, a US perspective, so perhaps your mileage may vary.

Sure. https://www.google.com/search?q=uk+covid+predictions&tbm=isch https://www.google.com/search?q=uk+covid+predictions&tbm=isc... There are plenty that stretch out for a year.

hamburglar 4y ago

A naive google search is ... not a helpful reference.

jryhjythtr 4y ago
Why not? It's the most efficient way I could think of, to display the sheer quantity, timeline, and content of the "Covid predictions" that we were shown in the UK. They are easily clickable, to show the original context (typically a news story or press release). You'll also note that practically all of them extend for at least 6 months. Also, you "asked for some". There they are - there's a lot of them.
- hamburglar 4y ago
  Well to be frank I clicked a handful of them and got tired of trying to decipher graphs that didn’t end up supporting this claim.
  - jryhjythtr 4y ago
    Reminding ourselves that you asked to be "pointed to some (graphs predicting more than 6 months)": It is not clear when the image in first result was published, but given that it includes error bars for dates from March 2020 onwards, I would assume this is the result of modelling performed earlier than March 2020. It covers until October 2020. Result number two is a direct link to this paper: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/196234/covid-19-imperial-researchers-model-likely-impact/ https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/196234/covid-19-imperial-res... It was published in March 2020, and predicts data till March 2021 Result number three is a direct link to this news story (with an ironic headline, given result number 4 below): https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-54831334 https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-54831334 It was published in November 2020, and predicts data until July 2021 Result number four is a direct link to this news story: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-53392148 https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-53392148 It was published in July 2020, and predicts data until July 2021 This is the garbage that was fed to the UK populace on a daily basis - it was like the "modellers" had taken charge. Will you accept that graphs predicting more than 6 months of results were in common circulation?
    - hamburglar 4y ago
      > Will you accept that graphs predicting more than 6 months of results were in common circulation? I accept that they exist. I don't accept that we were "bombarded" with them. This is, of course, a US perspective, so perhaps your mileage may vary.