TL;DR: I spoke with a lot of people in the industry and thus came to the conclusion that X will not be disruptive... The good part of the bet is that most pote

TL;DR: I spoke with a lot of people in the industry and thus came to the conclusion that X will not be disruptive... The good part of the bet is that most potential disruptions end not happening... But the exactly same median consensus is also reached about the disruptions that do end happening...