5 ms·

>Properly scrubbed, these answers could probably predict your ’16 and ’20 Election preferences with 90%+ accuracy. They could probably guess your preference, b

• smackeyacky 5y ago
  It would appear that the old methods of political polling in places like the US and Australia don't work with the accuracy they used to: https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/nov/11/opinion-poll-failure-at-australian-federal-election-systematically-over-represented-labor https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/nov/11/opini... A similar thing happened with Clinton in 2016 and with Brexit. Political polling has stopped working. It's not clear whether the polling organisations are simply asking the wrong people, or the wrong questions, or that people are no longer as fixed to their opinions as they used to be, or would prefer to hide their preferences. It would seem to me that a lot of the stranger activity on social media is an attempt to fix that problem.
  • tbihl 5y ago
    >It would seem to me that a lot of the stranger activity on social media is an attempt to fix that problem. To some extent, it seemed like the 2016 results were a response by people who wanted to resist lazy categorization. Granted, it's not hard to be subtler than "deplorables", but I expect some amount of people not wanting to be strategized with.