7 ms·Intrade: Only 30% chance US debt ceiling will be raised by July 31st.2 points by ticky 15y agoForrestN 15y agoCould be a really interesting/useful hedge for a lot of people.ticky 15y agoI tend to like the think the masses are usually wrong...STHayden 15y agodon't they have till the 2nd? I have a hard time believing they will bother doing anything useful until the last possible second.