If some countries aren't successful at containing the spread of the virus despite lockdowns, its because they didn't lockdown hard/good enough. If a country loc

If some countries aren't successful at containing the spread of the virus despite lockdowns, its because they didn't lockdown hard/good enough. If a country locks down hard and still many deaths occur, claim that the virus would have killed many more if they didn't lockdown. Morton's Fork. If deaths are low it's because lockdown worked. If they're high we didn't lockdown hard or early enough. Two outcomes, same conclusion: More lockdowns. No consideration to the null hypothesis.