I was curious about this question too so I tried to find a list of comparable risks. Wikipedia has a list: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Template:Global_catastr

I was curious about this question too so I tried to find a list of comparable risks. Wikipedia has a list: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Template:Global_catastrophic_risks https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Template:Global_catastrophic_r... The solar flare risk (at ~1% per year [1]) seems much more likely than many of the other items there. Supervolcanos, pandemics, war, and AI also seem like salient risks, but we probably shouldn't worry about e.g. gamma ray bursts or asteroids. [1] https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2019GL086524 https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/201...