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For an unsecured lender, this is basically the apocalypse. Let's do the math - numbers are US, but most of the major Western economies are going through some ve
by datingscientist 6y ago
For an unsecured lender, this is basically the apocalypse. Let's do the math - numbers are US, but most of the major Western economies are going through some version of this.
- 30% household unemployment
- 90+ day shutdown of most retail / service businesses
- Implicit Mortgage and Rent holidays (no enforcement)
- Other household assets are tanking (stocks, real estate)
- Small business restart will be brutal, since the personal balance sheets & credit of owners are getting devastated
So... payment on unsecured loans... bwhahahahah. Speaking as a former banker, I'm guessing what - a 40% delinquency rate during Q2 and part of Q3? We're not just talking about the unemployed people - others have hours cut, money lost on investments, business slowdowns, etc.
Not to mention most of the population probably won't give a damm about you trashing their credit score at this point. What's the point? It's all crap now...
Oh wait... I haven't gotten to the best part. If a loan is 60 days delinquent, these guys have to buy it back per the terms of their deal. That's why they froze this thing...
At this point, it is a race between their cash reserves (what % they held back to support buybacks) and the unknown peak of a massive wave of 60 day delinquencies....
- gdm85 6y ago> That's why they froze this thing... You're picturing it "too honest": there are allegations of misconduct which I am afraid (given the bad quality of the recent official posts) might be true, see for example: https://kristapsmors.substack.com/p/covid-19-first-p2p-victims-monethera https://kristapsmors.substack.com/p/covid-19-first-p2p-victi...
- datingscientist 6y agoHmm... I agree that looks sketchy.