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Safe: * Recession will happen that will affect the global economy causing at least a 30% decrease in major world stock indexes. * China will stumble in a majo
by sudo_bang_bang 7y ago
Safe:
* Recession will happen that will affect the global economy causing at least a 30% decrease in major world stock indexes.
* China will stumble in a major recession but the Communist Party will maintain power.
* Google, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft will still be the biggest tech companies by market cap.
* A new company that hasn’t been started yet will be in the top 10 tech companies by market cap.
* The duopoly of cloud computing services will be AWS and Google Cloud. Nearly all Fortune 500 companies will use one or the other.
* Big Tech will not be broken up because of their large value decline during recession, with focus being diverted to prop economy back up.
Bold:
* Breakthrough battery technology will make electric vehicles better for consumers than than their fossil fuel counterparts.
* The breakthrough battery tech will allow a very affordable manned mission to Mars.
* Solar will be the dominant form of energy creation in the United States.
* HIV vaccine available to nearly all healthy adults.
* Netflix will be bought by Disney.
* DeepFake technology will be used to create an entire feature film by a major studio.
* Donald Trump will win the 2020 presidential election despite being unsuccessfully tried during impeachment.
* In the United States, majority of people will eat synthetic meat over animal-based meat.
* San Francisco Bay Area will not be globally in the top 10 areas of funding for new technology startups.
Crazy:
* A state in the United States will successfully secede.
* Glaciation will increase in parts of the world with their albedo effect predicted to offset most of the temperature increase from man-made climate change.
* Major disease epidemic will kill at least 20 million people. Will not be noticed at first but will rapidly kill after long incubation.
* Artificial general intelligence (AGI) will be achieved, accidentally.
* Despite AGI, self-driving cars will not be the majority of vehicles on the road.