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That's very optimistic. "The median estimate for future growth sees the world population reaching 8.6 billion in 2030, 9.8 billion in 2050 and 11.2 billion by

That's very optimistic. "The median estimate for future growth sees the world population reaching 8.6 billion in 2030, 9.8 billion in 2050 and 11.2 billion by 2100" (2017) Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Projections_of_population_growth https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Projections_of_population_grow...

thisisweirdok 8y ago
People typically have fewer kids as their society develops. Average age in the developed world is almost double of places like Africa. There is some evidence that slowing or decline in population is a reasonable expectation. Also, from Wikipedia: Low estimates suggest a decline Moderate estimates suggest a plateau High estimates suggest constant increase Time will tell, and estimates suggest that the earth can comfortably support ~10bn --- I don't think housing prices have much to do with population increase, but more to do with urbanization (as well as increasing wage gaps). People are flocking to existing cities, and the more center you are the higher prices are. This pushes people to the outskirts, which become more urbanized, which spreads urbanization through the same cycle.
- entity345 8y ago
  Increased urbanisation is at best marginal in Western countries. This is not what is driving prices. But top places like London now attract from a global pool of billions. People need to realise that a world with 10 billion does not look like a world with 2 billion. Lastly, the planet has trouble with us now... It's terrorism to suggest that 10 billion is just fine.
  - thisisweirdok 8y ago
    >Lastly, the planet has trouble with us now... It's terrorism to suggest that 10 billion is just fine. Calling it terrorism is a bit absurd. It's totally possible (and even likely within our lifetimes), but that doesn't mean that there aren't huge logistical issues to overcome for it to be comfortable. One of the main problems is that the world population is so widely distributed. We can already feed and house everyone, we already have more resources than what would be required... they're just not distributed appropriately (some due to hoarding, some due to supply chain barriers, political borders, etc).
    - entity345 8y ago
      Considering the current environmental issues this is not absurd at all.
      - thisisweirdok 8y ago
        It is because I didn't say it was "just fine" I said "can" as in "is possible" — which is objectively true. ...and even if I did say it was "just fine" it wouldn't be tantamount to terrorism because I was pointing out something that is very likely inevitable. I'm not invoking 3 billion people by assuming one day they will exist.
        entity345 8y ago
        It is intellectual terrorism. I am sorry but sometimes things must be called out even if the feelings of thin-skinned people are hurt. It is only 'inevitable' because no-one has cared about it and, worse because some try to downplay the issue. I did not accuse you personally, but you also did not say that it was inevitable, you spread the opinion that it was fine. Those who claim that it is all good are pushing us to the abyss. Edit: Downvoting the inconvenient truth won't make it go away.
        thisisweirdok 8y ago
        I don't know if anyone's ever told you this, but you're being outwardly shitty when you have no reason to be. You're just throwing the word terrorism around disingenuously to get a rise out of people.
        entity345 8y ago
        It was not disingenuous. You complain too much while avoiding the point.
        thisisweirdok 8y ago

thisisweirdok 8y ago

People typically have fewer kids as their society develops. Average age in the developed world is almost double of places like Africa. There is some evidence that slowing or decline in population is a reasonable expectation. Also, from Wikipedia: Low estimates suggest a decline Moderate estimates suggest a plateau High estimates suggest constant increase Time will tell, and estimates suggest that the earth can comfortably support ~10bn --- I don't think housing prices have much to do with population increase, but more to do with urbanization (as well as increasing wage gaps). People are flocking to existing cities, and the more center you are the higher prices are. This pushes people to the outskirts, which become more urbanized, which spreads urbanization through the same cycle.

entity345 8y ago
Increased urbanisation is at best marginal in Western countries. This is not what is driving prices. But top places like London now attract from a global pool of billions. People need to realise that a world with 10 billion does not look like a world with 2 billion. Lastly, the planet has trouble with us now... It's terrorism to suggest that 10 billion is just fine.
- thisisweirdok 8y ago
  >Lastly, the planet has trouble with us now... It's terrorism to suggest that 10 billion is just fine. Calling it terrorism is a bit absurd. It's totally possible (and even likely within our lifetimes), but that doesn't mean that there aren't huge logistical issues to overcome for it to be comfortable. One of the main problems is that the world population is so widely distributed. We can already feed and house everyone, we already have more resources than what would be required... they're just not distributed appropriately (some due to hoarding, some due to supply chain barriers, political borders, etc).
  - entity345 8y ago
    Considering the current environmental issues this is not absurd at all.
    - thisisweirdok 8y ago
      It is because I didn't say it was "just fine" I said "can" as in "is possible" — which is objectively true. ...and even if I did say it was "just fine" it wouldn't be tantamount to terrorism because I was pointing out something that is very likely inevitable. I'm not invoking 3 billion people by assuming one day they will exist.
      - entity345 8y ago
        It is intellectual terrorism. I am sorry but sometimes things must be called out even if the feelings of thin-skinned people are hurt. It is only 'inevitable' because no-one has cared about it and, worse because some try to downplay the issue. I did not accuse you personally, but you also did not say that it was inevitable, you spread the opinion that it was fine. Those who claim that it is all good are pushing us to the abyss. Edit: Downvoting the inconvenient truth won't make it go away.
        thisisweirdok 8y ago
        I don't know if anyone's ever told you this, but you're being outwardly shitty when you have no reason to be. You're just throwing the word terrorism around disingenuously to get a rise out of people.
        entity345 8y ago
        It was not disingenuous. You complain too much while avoiding the point.
        thisisweirdok 8y ago