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Estimating production volume from serial numbers? Looks like a job for a German tank problem: https://www.theregister.co.uk/2014/05/20/german_tank_problem_and_l
by zyztem 9y ago
Estimating production volume from serial numbers? Looks like a job for a German tank problem: https://www.theregister.co.uk/2014/05/20/german_tank_problem_and_leaky_data/ https://www.theregister.co.uk/2014/05/20/german_tank_problem...
- fnayr 9y agoWhat do you do if Tesla is using a Linear Congruential Generator[1] to generate their serial numbers? Then the highest number found gives no information, even probabilistically. I don't know what the laws are on VINs though, so maybe it's forced to be sequential. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Linear_congruential_generator https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Linear_congruential_generator
- dsr_ 9y agoHere's the VIN decoder, valid since 1981. https://static.ogstatic.com/images/articles/2017/11/02232742/vin_branded_2.png https://static.ogstatic.com/images/articles/2017/11/02232742...
- greenyoda 9y agoAnd more details here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vehicle_identification_number#Components https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vehicle_identification_number#...
- pimlottc 9y agoI don't think they're attaching significance to the actual VIN numbers, just looking at the total number of unique VINs