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Does anyone know of a recently written book that tries to predict the world fifty years from now?
by fumonko 9y ago
Does anyone know of a recently written book that tries to predict the world fifty years from now?
- Top19 9y agoCopyright 2009 The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century https://www.amazon.com/dp/0767923057/ref=cm_sw_r_cp_api_e-6uAbS0GVYB3 https://www.amazon.com/dp/0767923057/ref=cm_sw_r_cp_api_e-6u...
- bencollier49 9y ago"2020: China Fragments"?
- varjag 9y agoHe also predicted the new cold war with Russia, at the time where such sentiments were dismissed as out of touch with reality.
- ballpark 9y agoNo, but give me 50 years and I'll tell you a good one.
- spodek 9y agoLimits to Growth, the 30 year update, if 2004 is recent enough. https://www.amazon.com/Limits-Growth-Donella-H-Meadows/dp/193149858X/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8 https://www.amazon.com/Limits-Growth-Donella-H-Meadows/dp/19...
- Jach 9y agoSince another replier gave a book for 100 years, here's one of those... http://ageofem.com/ http://ageofem.com/ Though I imagine 50 years has a small but non-zero probability in Prof Hanson's distribution, and he's pretty careful of not seeming overly certain: "Conditional on my key assumptions, I expect at least 30% of future situations to be usefully informed by my analysis. Unconditionally, I expect at least 10%."
- brendan_a_b 9y agoI know it's a bit further out than 50 years, but I remember enjoying this book/series of essays that discusses what humanity could look like in 1,000,000 C.E. Year Million: Science at the Far Edge of Knowledge https://www.amazon.com/Year-Million-Science-Edge-Knowledge/dp/B00EJ2Q4F0 https://www.amazon.com/Year-Million-Science-Edge-Knowledge/d...
- anthony_romeo 9y agoWell if you believe Kurzweil, we'll have achieved a technological singularity by that point.
- north_east_dev 9y agoIt's been a long time since I read him, but wasn't he putting the date for creating an AI with the intellect of a human at 2029?
- nine_k 9y agoIf you want an interesting dark view, try Blindsight by P. Watts. It's SF, but it's 10+ hard on Mohs scale of SF hardness, with 100 references to papers in the end. Contains a number of, mmm, interesting social vistas.
- Chris_Newton 9y agoNot quite the timescale you asked for, but The World in 2050 by Laurence C. Smith was an interesting read. At the time of writing he was predicting things about 40 years ahead.