7 ms·
My favorite statistical/probability paradox has always been the birthday paradox.
by fitchjo 9y ago
My favorite statistical/probability paradox has always been the birthday paradox.
- curiousgal 9y agoThere is a 98.75% chance of some match of birthdays of the users who upvoted this post (57 at this moment)
- beefield 9y agoI don't know if Monty hall problem counts as a paradox, but that is quite high on my favourite list of counterintuitive probability results.
- thousandautumns 9y agoIn my experience the only reason the Monty Hall problem comes off as paradoxical is because it is usually poorly explained.
- noam87 9y agoFor me it's Simpson's paradox: it throws everyone off -- it's caused (and will continue to cause) real-world damage, it's everywhere once you see it -- it's in how newspapers report science, it's in our social policy and how we talk about social issues, it's in court cases --, and finally, it's really hard to explain to a non-math person; so even when it's happening, you sound like the irrational one for pointing it out. ... and don't get cocky once you know about it, because it's so pernicious it'll get you too if you're not careful!
- yiyus 9y agoI do not think this is a particularly difficult concept to explain to anyone. A typical example (not difficult to find) and a simple graph are usually good enough for most people.