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If they can hit 500,000 cars by 2018 would you assume they would be able to fulfil all world orders of model 3 by mid-2018? I'm in Australia and put a deposit

If they can hit 500,000 cars by 2018 would you assume they would be able to fulfil all world orders of model 3 by mid-2018? I'm in Australia and put a deposit on in the morning the day it came out, hoping I'll see the car this year but doubtful.. next year? Maybe.

manicdee 10y ago
We will be getting ours in late 2018 assuming everything goes smoothly for Tesla. There is ramp-up, LHD priority, and shipping time to factor into the schedule.
- sketchthat 10y ago
  I'm thinking the same thing. Would love to see it earlier. At least by the time the right-hand drive market gets it all defects should be out of the car.
  - will_hughes 10y ago
    The one 'advantage' to buying Tesla in Australia is that even if you do get an absurdly long wait times, at least when they deliver you get all the newest fetures. eg Every Model S delivered to customers in Australia had the Autopilot hardware, because it took that long for them to build and ship them.
    - sundvor 10y ago
      And by then, hopefully the worst initial bugs have been sorted too.
- joering2 10y ago
  Honest question. Its February 2017, you say "late 2018". Why would you be buying anything, including something so expensive as a car, and wait for it more than a year not knowing how much technology will progress in next 12-18 months?
  - ryanhuff 10y ago
    Nobody has bought a M3 yet, but people have placed deposits.
    - spike021 10y ago
      I don't think that answers his/her question. The point being, why would anybody put money down on any car really, when it's a rather significant monetary investment not to be delivered for quite a while.
      - dagw 10y ago
        Because you want to be first in line when it does become available. And anyway it's not that big of an 'investment' ($1000) and you can get your money back at any time if you need it or change your mind about the car.
      - wastedhours 10y ago
        I know not at the same volumes, but almost all supercars follow that model as well. People will put down their deposits before it's even announced, wait several months for the launch, and then have a build window potentially in the year+ timeframe. Although a small number of units, there's an even higher monetary investment and commitment. We've not seen it to this extent in the "affordable" scene, but even if you flip it, there's probably enough market demand to be able to wipe your face on the deal if you did want to chase the new shiny thing announced in the meantime (which may or may not have extended build times too). That being said, I'm with a lot of people here that aren't new car buyers - I know you need new car buyers to have a used car market, but I'm not tuned into the mentality of it all.
        dingaling 10y ago
        The difference is that generally the supercar is an investment on account of status and strictly limited availability. For example Veyron production ended after 450 cars and if you want one now it's a seller's market. Mass-market cars on the other hand depreciate as soon as the key is turned. So not only dp depositors lose interest on that $1000 but they also lose in depreciation.

manicdee 10y ago

We will be getting ours in late 2018 assuming everything goes smoothly for Tesla. There is ramp-up, LHD priority, and shipping time to factor into the schedule.

sketchthat 10y ago
I'm thinking the same thing. Would love to see it earlier. At least by the time the right-hand drive market gets it all defects should be out of the car.
- will_hughes 10y ago
  The one 'advantage' to buying Tesla in Australia is that even if you do get an absurdly long wait times, at least when they deliver you get all the newest fetures. eg Every Model S delivered to customers in Australia had the Autopilot hardware, because it took that long for them to build and ship them.
  - sundvor 10y ago
    And by then, hopefully the worst initial bugs have been sorted too.
joering2 10y ago
Honest question. Its February 2017, you say "late 2018". Why would you be buying anything, including something so expensive as a car, and wait for it more than a year not knowing how much technology will progress in next 12-18 months?
- ryanhuff 10y ago
  Nobody has bought a M3 yet, but people have placed deposits.
  - spike021 10y ago
    I don't think that answers his/her question. The point being, why would anybody put money down on any car really, when it's a rather significant monetary investment not to be delivered for quite a while.
    - dagw 10y ago
      Because you want to be first in line when it does become available. And anyway it's not that big of an 'investment' ($1000) and you can get your money back at any time if you need it or change your mind about the car.
    - wastedhours 10y ago
      I know not at the same volumes, but almost all supercars follow that model as well. People will put down their deposits before it's even announced, wait several months for the launch, and then have a build window potentially in the year+ timeframe. Although a small number of units, there's an even higher monetary investment and commitment. We've not seen it to this extent in the "affordable" scene, but even if you flip it, there's probably enough market demand to be able to wipe your face on the deal if you did want to chase the new shiny thing announced in the meantime (which may or may not have extended build times too). That being said, I'm with a lot of people here that aren't new car buyers - I know you need new car buyers to have a used car market, but I'm not tuned into the mentality of it all.
      - dingaling 10y ago
        The difference is that generally the supercar is an investment on account of status and strictly limited availability. For example Veyron production ended after 450 cars and if you want one now it's a seller's market. Mass-market cars on the other hand depreciate as soon as the key is turned. So not only dp depositors lose interest on that $1000 but they also lose in depreciation.