"whatever is announced will essentially be an irrelevance since a year from now it won't even have hit double-digit usage share." I don't get the logic there.

"whatever is announced will essentially be an irrelevance since a year from now it won't even have hit double-digit usage share." I don't get the logic there. Why is it "essentially an irrelevance" just because it takes time to reach a wide user base? Today's releases will have tomorrow's wide user base and be as relevant as last year's releases are today.